No significant global warming since 1995
by Jarl R. Ahlbeck The writer is D.Sc. and lecturer at Abo Akademi University, Finland 25.10.2008
Keywords: Global Warming
The recovery of the earth's climate from the little ice age started about 200 years ago, but the concentration of the atmospheric carbon dioxide started to increase significantly as late as in the 1950s, probably due to rapidly increased burning of fossil fuels.
The climate recovery is still an ongoing process today. A natural warming rate of roughly 0.5 deg C /100 years has been the baseline for more than 100 years, but both short (a few years) and long (20 years) fluctuations around the baseline have occurred for natural but highly speculative reasons, for example a rapid warming in the 1930s followed by a cooling period, and recently again warming until about 1998.
According to the UK climate panel IPCC, this last warming period has been forced by increased carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere. There is however no proof of that and the theory of how carbon dioxide influences the global mean temperature is complicated and unreliable. And if the global temperature again starts to increase slower than the natural long-term trend of 0.5 deg C/100 years, or even starts to cool, we can be quite certain that the recent faster warming trends have been natural too.
It has been widely discussed if the satellite-derived global temperature measurements that show only little warming should be more reliable than the temperatures obtained on the ground that show more warming. But after 1995 both sources show about the same, (see graphs below drawn from Hadley-data (ground) and satellite data (NASA)).
A good reason to start a diagram from 1995 is that since that year no big (cooling) volcano eruptions have disturbed the temperature trend. Contrary to common belief, there has been no or little global warming since 1995 and this is shown by two completely independent datasets.
The curves look very normal and it seems probable that the natural recovery from the little ice age has went on without any significant decelerations or accelerations caused by human activity.
It is impossible to say what is going to happen in the future. But so far, real measurements give no ground for concern about a catastrophic future warming.
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
GW nuts looking more foolish every day.
Next time you pick up a National Geographic notice how scientists working at the South Pole build building on top of twenty-foot-high pipes. This is because the ice is growing at a rate of five feet a year. They get five years out of a structure before they have to dig down to get inside. Imagine 500-feet more ice in only 100 years.
At the North Pole the ice sheets over the Arctic Ocean grew in 2007. This year 2008 a record cold summer and winter has caused them to grow even more. The real danger to the polar bear is freezing to death and the ice being too thick for the seals to create breathing holes.
Anchorage and Fairbanks Alaska both suffered through the longest 21-day cold snap in over 100 years.
Record Cold Winter Requires Even Scarier, More Draconian Response
Posted by Bill Hennessy on March 10, 2008 under Satire.
Washinton, DC — The record cold temperatures and heavy snow in Asia and North America have prompted earth scientists to invent a whole new demand: zero carbon emissions.
Citing a new generation of computer models, based on scientific speculation that only a decade ago was considered too outlandish to pull off, scientists now claim that even physical exercise is too dangerous and must be banned.
“The steam that rises from a Starbuck’s coffee contains enough greenhouse gases to kill three polar bears and wipe out a village in Sri Lanka,” said Dr. Phillip Hensen, a geophysicist with the Godlike Space Studies program at NASA. “We must eliminate all greenhouse gases by July 2008, or we might as well launch every nuclear ballistic missile in all the arsenals in the world.”
Soccer moms around the country agree, and in Town and Country, Missouri, they’re taking action.
“I put a ‘Save the Planet: Park Your Car and Walk’ bumpersticker on my Escalade,” Melinda Carson told Hennessy’s Review. “We use E84 or 85, whatever it is, gasoline because it reduces America’s dependence on foreign carbon and saves polar bears.”
Earth scientist Patti Goebels, an associate professor at Land o Lakes Community College, applauds efforts like Ms. Carson’s. “I mean, anything we can do is great. Of course, we really need Congress to ban all carbon emissions and anything that puts off heat. Otherwise, all the polar bears will die, and even Minnesota will be hot and humid.”
Asked about the record cold winter in much of North America and Asia, Hensen said it’s just more evidence of the validity of the greenhouse theory.
“You have quadrillions of molecules of greenhouse gases trapped in the atmosphere. Of course, it’s going to cause colder winters in the northern hemisphere and colder summers in the southern hemisphere. Have you ever sprayed yourself with a CO2 fire extinguisher? All the models predicted this.”
Hensen took the opportunity to attack global warming skeptics. “These people, some of whom claim to be scientists, who say ‘this is just a scare tactic to win grant money’ are actually all employed by the big oil companies. They get paid to lie about the effects of greenhouse gases by the people who hate polar bears and Sri Lanka.”
Democrat candidate for President, Barack Obama, responded quickly to the report. “I will do whatever it takes to save the polar bear. Hillary Clinton could have saved the polar bear when her husband was president. Instead, she slept with strangers in the Lincoln Bedroom for a thousand dollars a night. ” UPDATE: Better global warming satire. Calvin Dude
At the North Pole the ice sheets over the Arctic Ocean grew in 2007. This year 2008 a record cold summer and winter has caused them to grow even more. The real danger to the polar bear is freezing to death and the ice being too thick for the seals to create breathing holes.
Anchorage and Fairbanks Alaska both suffered through the longest 21-day cold snap in over 100 years.
Record Cold Winter Requires Even Scarier, More Draconian Response
Posted by Bill Hennessy on March 10, 2008 under Satire.
Washinton, DC — The record cold temperatures and heavy snow in Asia and North America have prompted earth scientists to invent a whole new demand: zero carbon emissions.
Citing a new generation of computer models, based on scientific speculation that only a decade ago was considered too outlandish to pull off, scientists now claim that even physical exercise is too dangerous and must be banned.
“The steam that rises from a Starbuck’s coffee contains enough greenhouse gases to kill three polar bears and wipe out a village in Sri Lanka,” said Dr. Phillip Hensen, a geophysicist with the Godlike Space Studies program at NASA. “We must eliminate all greenhouse gases by July 2008, or we might as well launch every nuclear ballistic missile in all the arsenals in the world.”
Soccer moms around the country agree, and in Town and Country, Missouri, they’re taking action.
“I put a ‘Save the Planet: Park Your Car and Walk’ bumpersticker on my Escalade,” Melinda Carson told Hennessy’s Review. “We use E84 or 85, whatever it is, gasoline because it reduces America’s dependence on foreign carbon and saves polar bears.”
Earth scientist Patti Goebels, an associate professor at Land o Lakes Community College, applauds efforts like Ms. Carson’s. “I mean, anything we can do is great. Of course, we really need Congress to ban all carbon emissions and anything that puts off heat. Otherwise, all the polar bears will die, and even Minnesota will be hot and humid.”
Asked about the record cold winter in much of North America and Asia, Hensen said it’s just more evidence of the validity of the greenhouse theory.
“You have quadrillions of molecules of greenhouse gases trapped in the atmosphere. Of course, it’s going to cause colder winters in the northern hemisphere and colder summers in the southern hemisphere. Have you ever sprayed yourself with a CO2 fire extinguisher? All the models predicted this.”
Hensen took the opportunity to attack global warming skeptics. “These people, some of whom claim to be scientists, who say ‘this is just a scare tactic to win grant money’ are actually all employed by the big oil companies. They get paid to lie about the effects of greenhouse gases by the people who hate polar bears and Sri Lanka.”
Democrat candidate for President, Barack Obama, responded quickly to the report. “I will do whatever it takes to save the polar bear. Hillary Clinton could have saved the polar bear when her husband was president. Instead, she slept with strangers in the Lincoln Bedroom for a thousand dollars a night. ” UPDATE: Better global warming satire. Calvin Dude
Sunday, January 4, 2009
COSMOLOGICAL ICE AGES
Hank Kroll and Brad Guth solved the greatest mystery of all time, “the meaning of life.”
Everyone needs to read this book to more fully appreciate the celebration that is life.
After our sun was born in Orion three billion years passed and the planets were formed. Tiny Earth was in an Ice Age for one billion years. Eventually we drifted between the ancient two-solar-mass, stars Sirius and Procyon. Little Sirius B that orbits Sirius A every 54 years is an object the size of the Earth with 1.5 times the gravity of our sun matched our velocity and put us in orbit around Sirius A. Our Sun’s fortunate capture by the Sirius system took Earth out of the billion-year Ice Age with additional light and heat. It took the power of a white dwarf star to break through early Earth’s 1000+ PSI atmosphere and get life started on the surface of the waters.
This is the only possible explanation for how we got here besides having God instantly create everything which is a stretch for thinking people. I am not saying he didn’t have a hand in it.
The average temperature on Earth is currently 32 degrees which means we are still in an Ice Age. At the present time our sun doesn’t have enough power to keep us out of Ice Ages let alone penetrate a 1000 PSI Co2 atmosphere to get life started! During all previous geologic ages when the majority of the coal, oil and limestone were made from Co2, Earth’s average temperature was 50 to 60 degrees Fahrenheit.
Three million years ago the stellar explosion that created Barnard’s Loop blasted our sun into an elliptical orbit where we now go out to nine light years from Sirius below the galactic plane.
Co2 is plant food! Without Co2 everything on the planet dies and you can’t grow food. Our atmosphere is depleted to .033 % Co2 and our government wants to take your tax dollars to pump it underground????
Given the fact that 99% of our atmosphere is gone and the major producer of free oxygen, “diatoms” are disappearing; will humans keep on burning things until there is no oxygen left? We need to get a handle on this and start using sources of energy that don’t consume oxygen like geothermal, solar, wind and tide.
This book is about the conscious enlightenment of humanity necessary to save itself from extinction. www.GuardDogBooks.com www.AlaskaPublishing.com
Everyone needs to read this book to more fully appreciate the celebration that is life.
After our sun was born in Orion three billion years passed and the planets were formed. Tiny Earth was in an Ice Age for one billion years. Eventually we drifted between the ancient two-solar-mass, stars Sirius and Procyon. Little Sirius B that orbits Sirius A every 54 years is an object the size of the Earth with 1.5 times the gravity of our sun matched our velocity and put us in orbit around Sirius A. Our Sun’s fortunate capture by the Sirius system took Earth out of the billion-year Ice Age with additional light and heat. It took the power of a white dwarf star to break through early Earth’s 1000+ PSI atmosphere and get life started on the surface of the waters.
This is the only possible explanation for how we got here besides having God instantly create everything which is a stretch for thinking people. I am not saying he didn’t have a hand in it.
The average temperature on Earth is currently 32 degrees which means we are still in an Ice Age. At the present time our sun doesn’t have enough power to keep us out of Ice Ages let alone penetrate a 1000 PSI Co2 atmosphere to get life started! During all previous geologic ages when the majority of the coal, oil and limestone were made from Co2, Earth’s average temperature was 50 to 60 degrees Fahrenheit.
Three million years ago the stellar explosion that created Barnard’s Loop blasted our sun into an elliptical orbit where we now go out to nine light years from Sirius below the galactic plane.
Co2 is plant food! Without Co2 everything on the planet dies and you can’t grow food. Our atmosphere is depleted to .033 % Co2 and our government wants to take your tax dollars to pump it underground????
Given the fact that 99% of our atmosphere is gone and the major producer of free oxygen, “diatoms” are disappearing; will humans keep on burning things until there is no oxygen left? We need to get a handle on this and start using sources of energy that don’t consume oxygen like geothermal, solar, wind and tide.
This book is about the conscious enlightenment of humanity necessary to save itself from extinction. www.GuardDogBooks.com www.AlaskaPublishing.com
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